Showing 1 - 10 of 4,504
We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. Slope predicts stock returns at the weekly frequency: faster monetary policy easing positively predicts excess returns. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566444
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on stock prices during narrow time windows centered around press releases by the FOMC. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct effect and a network effect. We attribute 50 to 85 percent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011770624
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657891
We present new empirical evidence for the US economy that inflation reduces the inequality of the earnings distribution … higher inflation on income distribution is shown to be rather small. However, we find that a longer duration between two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507921
Inflation and earnings growth can push some tax payers into higher brackets in the absence of inflation …-indexed schedules. Moreover, inflation may affect the composition of individuals’ income sources. As a result, depending on the relative … tax burden of labour and capital, inflation may decrease or increase the difference between before-tax and after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780012
inflation and Tobin’s q; a normalized market price of capital. This stylized fact is explained within a dynamic stochastic … rising marginal cost of investment, (ii) production of human capital with endogenous growth and (iii) an inflation tax cash …-in-advance economy. The baseline endogenous growth model matches the US inflation and q long term correlation, while comparable exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008668754
This study analyzes the question whether gold provides the ability of hedging against inflation from a new perspective …: First, we show that gold is partially able to hedge future inflation in the long-run and this ability is stronger for the … characterized by regime-dependence, implying that the usefulness of gold as an inflation hedge for investors crucially depends on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580064
Recently a market in options based on CPI inflation (inflation caps and floors) has emerged in the US. This paper uses … quotes on these derivatives to construct probability densities for inflation. We study how these pdfs respond to news … empirical pricing kernels. The options-implied densities assign considerably more mass to extreme inflation outcomes (either …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009557641
We investigate the economic effects of three separate types of oil price shocks on the U.S. economy using a factor augmented vector autoregression framework and 185 monthly macroeconomic indicators from 1978 to 2017. We find that while increases in the price of crude oil triggered by oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827557
Inflation and earnings growth can push some tax payers into higher brackets in the absence of inflation …-indexed schedules. Moreover, inflation may affect the composition of individuals’ income sources. As a result, depending on the relative … tax burden of labor and capital, inflation may decrease or increase the difference between before and after-tax income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012314680