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. Symmetry is rejected for the short-run, thus for the given cointegration vectors the final modelling stage is based on the full …, where the VAR based cointegration analysis is combined with a graph-theoretic search for instantaneous causal relations and … unanticipated interest rate change by the Fed. -- Two-country model ; Cointegration ; Structural VAR ; Gets Model Selection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009672516
In recognition of his contributions to the development of the method of cointegration analysis for analyzing … the development of the method of cointegration analysis. To illustrate by example, we apply the method of time series … cointegration analysis and present statistical evidence that supports the proposition that the economies of Canada and the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972645
The 'saving for a rainy day' hypothesis implies that households' saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518800
of financing. -- cointegration ; regime shifts ; US housing bubble ; subprime lending ; bubble indicator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009704286
; Innovation ; Pharmaceuticals ; Health care expenditure ; Cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003900852
period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and nonlinearity of … both series are found to vary considerably across states, whilst the fractional cointegration analysis suggests that a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280006
period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and non-linearity of … both series are found to vary considerably across states, whilst the fractional cointegration analysis suggests that a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283833
The `saving for a rainy day' hypothesis implies that households' saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530531
inflation and commodity prices using recent methods of linear cointegration, and non-linear Granger causality. The main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776655
Using aggregate quarterly data for the period 1975q1–2010q4, I find that the US housing market changed from a stable regime with prices determined by fundamentals, to a highly unstable regime at the beginning of the previous decade. My results indicate that these imbalances could have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007870