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case. We show that in an insurance context, being insured against losses that may be incurred in a real-effort task changes … subjects' self-confidence. Our novel experimental design allows us to disentangle selection into insurance from the effects of … uninsured subjects are underconfident while those that obtain insurance have well-calibrated beliefs. Our results suggest that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812974
case. We show that in an insurance context, being insured against losses that may be incurred in a real-effort task changes … subjects' self-confidence. Our novel experimental design allows us to disentangle selection into insurance from the effects of … uninsured subjects are underconfident while those that obtain insurance have well-calibrated beliefs. Our results suggest that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899247
Analysis of monthly disaggregated data from 1978 to 2016 on US household in ation expectations reveals that exposure to news on in ation and monetary policy helps to explain in ation expectations. This remains true when controlling for household personal characteristics, their perceptions of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657291
In this paper we present an experiment on the false consensus effect. Unlike previous experiments, we provide monetary incentives for revealing the actual estimation of others' behavior. In each session and round sixteen subjects make a choice between two options simultaneously. Then they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581106
This paper studies how individuals believe human capital investments will affect their future career and family life. We conducted a survey of high-ability currently enrolled college students and elicited beliefs about how their choice of college major, and whether to complete their degree at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536082
This paper investigates the roles psychological biases play in empirically estimated deviations between subjective survival beliefs (SSBs) and objective survival probabilities (OSPs). We model deviations between SSBs and OSPs through age-dependent inverse S-shaped probability weighting functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011816303
This paper investigates the roles psychological biases play in empirically estimated deviations between subjective survival beliefs (SSBs) and objective survival probabilities (OSPs). We model deviations between SSBs and OSPs through age-dependent inverse S-shaped probability weighting functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011796058
I experimentally examine whether feedback about others' choices provides an anchor for decision-making under ambiguity. In a between-subjects design I vary whether subjects learn choices made individually by a "peer" in a first part when facing the same task a second time, and whether prospects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364762
We examine whether belief-based preferences - caring about what transgressors believe - play a crucial role in punishment decisions: Do punishers want to make sure that transgressors understand why they are being punished, and is this desire to affect beliefs often prioritized over distributive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012166019
Mere observation of others' choices can be informative about product quality. This paper develops an individual-level dynamic model of observational learning, and applies it to a novel data set from the U.S. kidney market where transplant candidates on a waiting list sequentially decide whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014054192