This paper provides an overview of the evolution of macroeconomic thought from 1936, the year John Maynard Keynes published his general theory of employment, interest and money to the year 2010. It explores the reasons for the extension of the business cycle during the postwar period. The paper...

This paper analyzes the causes and implications of recent financial crises. Financial crises in general lead to changes in both theory and practice of economics. The paper takes an historical overview. The global consensus of economic theory during the 20th century is discussed. The paper...

The United States (US) extracts a large macroeconomic premium from foreigners: she enjoys higher consumption and GDP growths on average relative to the rest of the world (ROW). This is earned even though the US is relatively insulated against global consumption and GDP risks, challenging a...

I study the joint dynamics between the US wealth share, the dollar and the global economy. I uncover three novel stylised facts about these joint dynamics. Firstly, the US wealth share is countercyclical: it falls on impact but subsequently rises over the course of global recessions. Secondly...

In this Strategic Analysis paper, we review what we believe is the most important economic policy issue facing policymakers in the United States and abroad: the prospect of a growth recession in the United States, linked to the imbalances in the U.S. current account, government, and private...

Many are currently studying the origins of the financial crisis in an attempt to answer two seemingly simple questions: why did it happen, and can another crisis be prevented? Those two questions have proved incredibly divisive. The majority opinion of The United States Financial Crisis Inquiry...

This paper analyzes the responses of the United States and the economies of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) to the financial and economic crisis of 2008–2009. The crisis illuminates the fundamental structural problems within the EMU, the European Union and the United States and the scale...

A thorough discourse on the underlying issues confronting the U.S. economy, as well as proposals for fixing the crisis. The proposed solutions include placement of soldiers who wish to remain federally employed in a public works program upon return from the Middle East, replacement of free trade...

In the absence of U.S. fiscal adjustment and a further correction of the dollar, the current account deficit is headed to $1.3 trillion by 2010 (8 to 8.5 percent of GDP) and net U.S. foreign liabilities to over $8 trillion (50 percent of GDP). According to CGD/IIE Senior Fellow William R. Cline,...

This paper assesses the reactions of the United States and the twelve economies of the European Monetary Union (EMU) to the financial crisis of 2008-2009. The rapidly spreading financial and economic contagion uncovered structural problems of each member of the EMU that impacted their relative...