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US dollar exchange rate elasticity of gold returns at different federal fund rate zones
Herley, Michael D.; Orłowski, Lucjan T.; Ritter, Mark A. - In: Economies : open access journal 12 (2024) 9, pp. 1-10
We examine the relationship between gold prices and the U.S. dollar exchange rate, arguing that their interactions are … SETAR(2,p) tests. Subsequently, we perform conditional least square estimations of log changes in gold prices as a function … consistently inverse, suggesting that gold and the U.S. dollar are risk-hedging substitutes for normal market periods. This also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015073524
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Time-varying effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock markets and economic activity : evidence from the US and Europe
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Catik, A. Nazif; Helmi, … - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 51 (2024) 2, pp. 529-558
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014557642
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Stock market investment and inflation : evidence from the United States and Canada
Sami, Janesh - In: Review of Economic Analysis : REA 13 (2021) 3, pp. 339-365
This paper examines the long-run relationship between goods prices and stock prices to understand whether stock market investment can help hedge against inflation in the United States (US) and Canada. This study employed an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration test developed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886334
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Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models
Abbate, Angela; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2016
We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489395
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Consumer confidence as a predictor of consumption spending : evidence for the United States and the euro area
Dées, Stéphane; Soares Brinca, Pedro - 2011
For most academics and policy makers, the depth of the 2007-09 financial crisis, its longevity and its impacts on the real economy resulted from an erosion of confidence. This paper proposes to assess empirically the link between consumer sentiment and consumption expenditures for the United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009160013
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Consumer Confidence as a Predictor of Consumption Spending : Evidence for the United States and the Euro Area
Dees, Stephane - 2011
For most academics and policy makers, the depth of the 2007-09 financial crisis, its longevity and its impacts on the real economy resulted from an erosion of confidence. This paper proposes to assess empirically the link between consumer sentiment and consumption expenditures for the United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124648
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US Shocks and the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
Fu, Bowen; Li, Mengheng - 2021
The literature on uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) shows two empirical puzzles. One is the failure of UIP, and the other is the unstable coefficients in the UIP regression. We propose a time-varying coefficients model with stochastic volatility and US structural shocks (TVC-SVX) to study how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225539
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Price discovery on traded inflation expectations : does the financial crisis matter?
Schulz, Alexander; Stapf, Jelena - 2009
We analyze contributions of different markets to price discovery on traded inflation expectations and how it changed during the financial crisis. The quicker information is processed on one market and the less one market is disrupted by the financial crisis the more valuable is its information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003874764
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What Causes Correlations of Equity Returns to Change Over Time? A Study of the US and the Russian Equity Markets
Jithendranathan, Thadavillil - 2010
This paper addresses the changing nature of the correlations between the equity returns of the U.S. and Russian markets and the factors that cause these correlations to change. Correlations were estimated using the “Dynamic Conditional Correlation Model.” The sovereign credit risk of Russia,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138532
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Do U.S. Macroeconomic Surprises Influence Equity Returns? An Exploratory Analysis of Developed Economies
Lucey, Brian M. - 2013
Given the dominant role the U.S. economy plays in global trade, we explore how U.S. macroeconomic surprises affect stock markets in ten major developed economies as well as in China and India. We do not find strong enough evidence to conclude that US macro shocks materially and consistently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082200