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Current account sustainability in the US : what do we really know about its?
Christopulos, Dēmētrēs K. (contributor);  … - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]
-linear behaviour under the null of stationarity. This is confirmed by a set of non-linearity tests. We then fit an ESTAR model to the … current account dynamics and reject the null of non-stationarity. Hence, we conclude in favour of sustainability. Furthermore … equilibrium and a slower speed of mean reversion. -- Current account sustainability ; stationarity ; non-linear models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002364771
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International capital flows and bond risk premia
Sierra, Jesus - 2010
This paper studies the impact of international capital flows on asset prices through risk premia. We investigate whether foreign purchases of U.S. Treasury securities significantly contributed to the decline in excess returns on long-term bonds between 1995 and 2008. We run forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981333
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Multilateral adjustment and exchange rate dynamics : the case of three commodity currencies
Bailliu, Jeannine N.; Dib, Ali; Kano, Takashi; … - 2007
In this paper, we empirically investigate whether multilateral adjustment to large U.S. external imbalances can help explain movements in the bilateral exchange rates of three commodity currencies---the Australian, Canadian and New Zealand (ACNZ) dollars. To examine the relationship between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003560532
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Characterizing Movements of the U.S. Current Account Deficit
Middendorf, Torge; Schmidt, Torsten - 2004
It is unclear whether the exceptionally high U.S. current account deficit can be sustained for a prolonged period. In this paper we approach the topic whether a gradual adjustment or a pronounced reduction of the deficit is likely to occur. We therefore characterize the dynamics of the current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068216
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Adjustment of US External Imbalances : At What Horizon?
Konstantinou, Panagiotis Th - 2009
The relative importance of the trade and financial (valuation) channels for correcting cyclical external imbalances of the US is examined, with the contribution of each component broken-down by horizon. The evidence presented demonstrate that valuation effects contribute to cyclical external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156591
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International risk-sharing and the transmission of productivity shocks
Corsetti, Giancarlo; Dedola, Luca; Leduc, Sylvain - 2004
A central puzzle in international finance is that real exchange rates are volatile and, in stark contradiction to effcient risk-sharing, negatively correlated with cross-country consumption ratios. This paper shows that incomplete asset markets and a low price elasticity of tradables can account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636531
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Monetary Policy Shocks and Portfolio Choice
Fratzscher, Marcel; Saborowski, Christian; Straub, Roland - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010
The paper shows that monetary policy shocks exert a substantial effect on the size and composition of capital flows and the trade balance for the United States, with a 100 basis point easing raising net capital inflows and lowering the trade balance by 1% of GDP, and explaining about 20-25% of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692318
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On the International Spillovers of US Quantitative Easing
Fratzscher, Marcel; Duca, Marco Lo; Straub, Roland - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2013
The paper analyses the global spillovers of the Federal Reserve's unconventional monetary policy measures. First, we find that Fed measures in the early phase of the crisis (QE1), but not since 2010 (QE2), were highly effective in lowering sovereign yields and raising equity markets in the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010662984
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The Blind Men and the Elephant
Eichengreen, Barry - In: Ensayos Económicos 1 (2009) 53-54, pp. 25-57
This paper analyzes the conflicting explanations of the global imbalances’ pattern and the size of the US external deficit. In this document, it is argued that, far from being incompatible, the explanations suggested are part of a broader story. The drop of the US saving rate has played a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849641
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A global monetary tsunami? On the spillovers of US Quantitative Easing
Fratzscher, Marcel; Lo Duca, Marco; Straub, Roland - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012
The paper analyses the global spillovers of the Federal Reserve’s unconventional monetary policy measures since 2007. First, we find that Fed measures in the early phase of the crisis (QE1), but not since 2010 (QE2), were highly effective in lowering sovereign yields and raising equity markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083739