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We analyze the global imbalances and the required adjustments for rebalancing in current accounts and real exchange rates. We set up a two-country two-sector model for the US-China with two asymmetries. First, we assume that the size of China initially is one third of the US but its size becomes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009407603
We isolate a U.S. dollar currency premium by comparing corporate bonds issued in the dollar and the euro by firms o utside t he U .S. a nd e uro a rea. We make s everal empirical observations that dissect the perceived advantage of borrowing in the dollar. First, while the dollar dominates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306776
There are two main forces behind the large U.S. current account deficits. First, an increase in the U.S. demand for foreign goods. Second, an increase in the foreign demand for U.S. assets. Both forces have contributed to steadily increasing current account deficits since the mid-1990s. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067277
The corporate basis measures the pricing difference between dollar and foreign currency bonds issued by the same corporate entity. In this paper, we decompose the basis into a risky asset yield spread, a safe asset convenience yield, and FX hedging costs with the covered interest rate parity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406185
A central puzzle in international finance is that real exchange rates are volatile and, in stark contradiction to effcient risk-sharing, negatively correlated with cross-country consumption ratios. This paper shows that incomplete asset markets and a low price elasticity of tradables can account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636531
In the canonical monetary policy model, money is endogenous to the optimal path for interest rates and output. But when liquidity provision by banks dominates the demand for transactions money from the real economy, money is likely to contain information for future output and inflation because...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003784936
This paper extends the model of Engler et al. (2007) on the adjustment of the US current account to a three-country world economy. This allows an analysis of the differential impact of a reversal of the US current account on Europe and Asia. In particular, the outcomes under different exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003824997
Differences in financial systems are often named as a prime candidate for the current state of global imbalances. This paper argues that the process of capital liberalization can explain a substantial fraction of the US net external liabilities. We present a simple two-country model with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003919579
This paper investigates the role that exchange rate changes can play in rebalancing transpacific trade. It presents evidence from a gravity model indicating that the exports from the People's Republic of China (PRC) to the United States (US) are a key outlier in the global economy and that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732314
This paper examines the international transmission effects that a positive supply shock in emerging economies may have on inflation in developed economies. We construct a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for three countries and analyze the impact of a supply shock in an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239396