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We study the multifaceted effects and persistence of trade policy shocks on financial markets in a structural vector autoregression. The model is identified via event day heteroskedasticity. We find that restrictive US trade policy shocks affect US and international stock prices heterogeneously,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424229
We study the multifaceted effects and persistence of trade policy shocks on financial markets in a structural vector autoregression. The model is identified via event day heteroskedasticity. We find that restrictive US trade policy shocks affect US and international stock prices heterogeneously,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589569
With its America First strategy, the former US administration turned away from an internationally oriented trade policy. It attempted to assert its interests, especially vis-à-vis China, with bilateral and mostly restrictive measures such as import tariffs. This Weekly Report shows that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612721
We study the multifaceted effects of trade policy shocks on financial markets using a structural vector autoregression identified via event day heteroskedasticity. We find that restrictive US trade policy shocks affect US and international stock prices heterogeneously, but generally negatively....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013253669
There has been mixed evidence regarding the existence of rational bubbles in the foreign exchange markets. This paper introduces recently developed sequential unit root tests into the analysis of exchange rates bubbles. We find strong evidence of explosive behavior in the nominal Sterling-dollar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338391
In response to questions about the relative importance of different types of capital flow for international competitiveness, we develop a structural vector auto-regressive model of the real exchange rate and international capital flows. We reveal that innovations to speculative sentiment cause...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533969
This article offers a critique of the deregulation of banking and finance that started with the breakdown of the Bretton Woods regime of fixed exchange rates during the Nixon administration, accelerated with interest rate deregulation during the Carter administration, and was deepened during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014056011
In order to determine the Colombian and U.S stock market's structural dependence, losses of Col20, Dow Jones, and Standard & Poors 500 were use as variables. Semiparametric Copula-based Multivariate Dynamic (SCOMDY) proposed by Chen & Fan (2006) was used as methodology. It was found that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097485
The present study investigates the impact of economic policy uncertainty, and economic factors on the stock market index in the USA using Non-ARDL and Quantile models. The findings reveal that declining economic and economic-political factors will increase the stock market index in the US. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380699
This paper undertakes an empirical inquiry concerning the determinants of long-term interest rates on US Treasury securities. It applies the bounds testing procedure to cointegration and error correction models within the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) framework, using monthly data and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950221