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This paper tries to answer the long-standing question of whether money causes output. Instead of focusing on domestic … monetary policy and output, we analyze U.S. monetary policy and its possible effects on real output in China. Our results … indicate that the main monetary instrument in the U.S., the Federal Fund Rate, Granger causes China’s output. A second monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999560
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003863439
We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305726
whether money growth Granger-causes output growth in the United States. We find surprisingly strong evidence for a money-output …-of-sample forecasting ; granger causality ; money ; output ; federal reserve ; Volcker …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726100
interest rate uncertainty for the U.S. -- Monetary policy ; reaction functions; state-space models ; output-gap forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908161
fell to unprecedented low levels in the 1980s and remained low while uncertainty about future output and inflation declined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908184
autoregressive model. In a high inflation regime the standard results from the literature obtain. In a low inflation regime output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950519
This paper explores time variation in the dynamic effects of technology shocks on U.S. output, prices, interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003993976
This paper investigates to what extent Chinese monetary policy is constrained by the dollar peg. To this end, we use a cointegration framework to examine whether Chinese interest rates are driven by the Fed's policy. In a second step, we estimate a monetary model for China, in which we include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008796581
This paper explores time variation in the dynamic effects of technology shocks on U.S. output, prices, interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008806609