preferences. TFP news shocks are identified mainly by current and expected unemployment rates since periods in which average … unemployment is relatively high (low) are also periods in which average TFP growth is slow (fast). We work out the noise component … materialize. These autonomous changes in beliefs have induced fluctuations in the unemployment rate within a two …

The official U.S. unemployment rate is an inadequate measure of actual labor market conditions. This poses a major … challenge for researchers and confuses both the public and policy makers. A new definition of unemployment is proposed. It … unemployed. We find that the actual unemployment rate in May 2020 was 24.4% or 183% of the headline rate of 13.3%. …

Covid pandemic. At the same time, the unemployment rate, the growth domestic product (GDP) per capita growth rate, the …, supporting the hypothesis of a delayed response in the labor market. The unemployment rate reacted particularly late to the black …