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In this paper we have applied two approaches to the study of the dollar real exchange rate in relation with the Euro … seven developed countries, four of them Euro-area members. Second, we aggregate the European variables and estimate a model … for the Euro-dollar real exchange rate using time series techniques. After identification and model selection, the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538958
How is it possible that exchange rates move in the long run towards fundamentals, while professionals form consistently irrational exchange rate expectations? We look at this puzzle from a different perspective by analyzing investor sentiment in the US-dollar market. First, long-horizon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003575469
Although the literature on purchasing power parity (PPP) is rich in controversy, the relative contribution of prices and nominal exchange rates to real exchange rate movements which restore PPP disequilibria has rarely been put under any close scrutiny. Using monthly data from 1973:01 to 2009:12...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580305
We follow the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate approach by Clark and MacDonald (1998) to derive equilibrium real effective exchange rates and currency misalignments for the US and its 16 major trading partners. We apply cointegration and panel cointegration techniques to derive fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374380
This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by … sample from 1980 to 2000. However, historical decompositions reveal that fluctuations since the introduction of the euro in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473872
This paper analyzes the impact of exchange rate levels and exchange rate uncertainty on U.S. foreign direct investment into Latin America. By decomposing exchange rate uncertainty into temporary (short-run) and permanent (long-run) components, we further explore whether the nature of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766445
This article researches fluctuation of exchange rate has impacts on China import unit price of soybeans trading to USA, Argentina, and Brazil. Based on yearly and monthly bilateral soybeans trade data from 1999 to 2010, empirical results show that exchange rate is statistically significant to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855855
Contrary to most existing studies of the literature that assumed that the effects of real exchange rate (RE) misalignment on trade flows are symmetric, this paper considers a more general and realistic framework allowing for possible asymmetric effects. We use monthly time-series data over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177135
Contrary to most existing studies of the literature that assumed that the effects of real exchange rate (RE) misalignment on trade flows are symmetric, this paper considers a more general and realistic framework allowing for possible asymmetric effects. We use monthly time-series data over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291707
Contrary to most existing studies of the literature that assumed that the effects of real exchange rate (RE) misalignment on trade flows are symmetric, this paper considers a more general and realistic framework allowing for possible asymmetric effects. We use monthly time-series data over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187157