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individual or groups of borrowers. -- Logistic regression ; CHAID ; specification testing ; risk management ; nonparametrics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003728240
In this paper, we propose a multivariate market model with returns assumed to follow a multivariate normal tempered stable distribution. This distribution, defined by a mixture of the multivariate normal distribution and the tempered stable subordinator, is consistent with two stylized facts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009576319
The paper investigates the ability of oil price returns, oil price shocks and oil price volatility to provide predictive information on the state (high/low risk environment) of the US stock market returns and volatility. The disaggregation of oil price shocks according to their origin allows us...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910121
This paper applies the Hafner and Herwartz (2006) (hereafter HH) approach to the analysis of multivariate GARCH models using volatility impulse response analysis. The data set features ten years of daily returns series for the New York Stock Exchange Index and the FTSE 100 index from the London...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301206
Article refers to the issue of credit risk management in commercial banks. Particular attention is paid to the problem of stress testing. In addition, methods are presented that allow prediction of the losses of the portfolio in the context of extreme events relating to the crises of financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009741563
The empirical joint distribution of return-pairs on stock indices displays high tail-dependence in the lower tail and low tail-dependence in the upper tail. The presence of tail-dependence is not compatible with the assumption of (conditional) joint normality. The presence of asymmetric-tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725481
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001736255
We use the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) quantile regression technique to construct and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918493
. In this paper, various risk models are used to forecast the Value-at-Risk (VaR) in holding the currency. Being a quantile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014222328
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002372839