We estimate the short-run effects of severe weather shocks on local economic activity and assess cross …-border spillovers operating through economic linkages between U.S. states. We measure weather shocks using a detailed county … weather shocks hitting individual regions. We also show that (i) taking into account economic interconnections between states …

affiliation of the future governor is a source of political risk to firms considering business investment. More importantly, the …We estimate the effect of electorally induced policy uncertainty on investment in the manufacturing sector. Because …, and because the policies relevant to business investment vary systematically by party, uncertainty over the partisan …