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In this paper, we analyse the response of Japan’s foreign exchange and stock markets to the outcomes of the Brexit referendum and the U.S. presidential election. We estimate the changes in returns of the daily exchange rates of the yen (JPY), the daily closing price index of the Nikkei and the...
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This paper looks at the evolution of U.S. stock prices from the time of the Presidential elections to the end of 2017. It concludes that a bit more than half of the increase in the aggregate U.S. stock prices from the presidential election to the end of 2017 can be attributed to higher actual...
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. This paper empirically examines (a) the statistical properties of the Korea's representative implied volatility index … volatility process of the index, using augmented heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models with exogenous covariates. The results … macroeconomic variables explain the VKOSPI. More importantly, we find that the stock market return and implied volatility index of …
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This paper analyzes stock market reactions to election polls. Stock markets anticipate the impact of events on future cash flows. Current values depend on future cash flows and risk prospects. We posit that election polls are indications of the political platforms that are expected to win...
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