Showing 1 - 10 of 53,298
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755440
rate. As economic theory provides reasons for inflation persistence to differ across conditional quantiles, this is a …We examine both the degree and the structural stability of inflation persistence at different quantiles of the … conditional inflation distribution. Previous research focused exclusively on persistence at the conditional mean of the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010357837
method is based on the comparison of standard log-periodogram regression estimation of the memory parameter with its tapered … parameter under the null, and is therefore estimated by bootstrapping. The test is applied to inflation rates of three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509839
rate. As economic theory provides reasons for inflation persistence to differ across conditional quantiles, this is a …We examine both the degree and the structural stability of inflation persistence at different quantiles of the … conditional inflation distribution. Previous research focused exclusively on persistence at the conditional mean of the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394332
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and illustrate the major principles of corresponding Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) based statistical inference. We provide a hands-on ap proach which is easily implemented in empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770817
We combine an estimated monetary policy rule featuring time-varying trend inflation and stochastic coefficients with a … medium scale New Keynesian framework calibrated on the U.S. economy. We find the impact of variations in trend inflation on … counterfactual exercises suggest that the change in the Federal Reserve's policy response to inflation is likely to have been the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343856
Macroeconomic time series often involve a threshold effect in their ARMA representation, and exhibit long memory features. In this paper we introduce a new class of threshold ARFIMA models to account for this. The threshold effect is introduced in the autoregressive and/or the fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966199
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003022214
theory, however, suggests that these events have large transitory, rather than permanent, effects on economic activity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770690
horizons and for recursive and rolling estimation schemes. We find that the business cycle does not seem to have an effect on … ; parameter estimation error ; stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003698258