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subject to stochastic volatility. It enables the disentanglement of dynamic structures in both the mean and the variance of … the observed time series. We develop a simulated maximum likelihood estimation method based on importance sampling and … increased during the 2008 financial crisis while it has recently returned to its pre-crisis level. The extracted volatility …
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results are then compared to related models, such as stochastic volatility models or Log-ACD models. -- EGARCH ; exponential … volatility model ; Log ACD model ; norming constants …
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It is common to transform data to stationarity, such as by differencing and demeaning, before estimating factor models in macroeconomics. Imposing these transformations, however, limit opportunities to learn about trending behaviour. Trends and deterministic processes can play a central role in...
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accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
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