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This paper compares the aggregate effects of sectoral reallocation in the United States and Western Germany using a stochastic volatility model of sectoral employment growth. Reallocative shocks have no effect on the natural rate of unemployment in either country, and there is mild evidence that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009232258
contractionary effect of a reallocative shock should come from the direct aggregate effect of the underlying shock and not from human …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009232259
equity capital to the risk-free interest rate. When equity capital falls, bankruptcy risks rise. Firms become more vulnerable … long time. -- liquidity trap ; financial crisis ; rare disasters ; equity capital ; leverage ; bankruptcy risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535806
estimate "macro risk factors" that drive "bad" (negatively skewed) and "good" (positively skewed) variation for supply and … significantly contribute to the variation yields, risk premiums and return variances for nominal bonds. While overall bond risk … premiums are counter-cyclical, an increase in demand variance lowers risk premiums …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709342
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009547326
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208719
When choosing a strategy for monetary policy, policymakers must grapple with mismeasurement of labor market slack, and of the responsiveness of price inflation to that slack. Using stochastic simulations of a small-scale version of the Federal Reserve Board’s principal New Keynesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016122
investors' effective risk aversion. Using this utility function, we extend the "no good deals" methodology of Cochrane and Saá …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009679505
shocks to the first and second moments of idiosyncratic risk on macroeconomic outcomes. An increase in demand uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011896893
The extraordinary events surrounding the Great Recession have cast a considerable doubt on the traditional sources of macroeconomic instability. In their place, economists have singled out financial and uncertainty shocks as potentially important drivers of economic fluctuations. Empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563004