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of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a … is too restrictive when testing the CAPM. We also propose exact multivariate diagnostic checks (including tests for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001731828
of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a … is too restrictive when testing the CAPM. We also propose exact multivariate diagnostic checks (including tests for …In diesem Papier schlagen wir exakte likelihood-basierte Tests auf Mittelwert-Varianz- Effizienz im Rahmen des CAPM vor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431982
This paper presents a new test of the present value model of stock price determination, using some of the recent advances in the econometrics of seasonal time series. Unlike earlier studies which generally find stock prices, dividends, and interest rates to be characterized by standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014043638
We analyze the announcement risk premia on the US market between September 1987 and March 2023 and find that the market index exhibits average excess returns of 8.3 bps for macroeconomic announcement days. This strongly contrasts with 1.4 bps returns for non-announcement days. We further measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015076295
We examine the announcement effects of consumer sentiment on US stock and stock futures markets. First, we find that the consumer sentiment announcement has valuable information content. Second, an asymmetric response is observed for “good” versus “bad” sentiment news. Specifically, when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130425
CNN Money developed the original US Stock Market Fear and Greed Index in 2012, using seven data points to measure stock market performance. The ability of the Fear and Greed Index to impact on future values of the various stock indices appears to be dependent on the observation period and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350387
This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic news on the dynamics of interest rates and stock returns during "low" and "high" volatility periods. These periods are determined by estimating asset dynamics using a SWARCH process. Our results suggest that securities volatility is higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108222
This paper is a data-based analysis of how and why U.S. common stocks secularly rose in concert with falling interest rates. It finds that falling rates explained 76% of the increase in stocks between 1982 and 2019. Growth in financial wealth significantly outpaced growth in the real economy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824647
In a complete market for short-lived assets, we investigate long run wealth-driven selection on a general class of investment rules that depend on endogenously determined current and past prices. We find that market instability, leading to asset mis-pricing and informational efficiencies, is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729026
returns. These results are robust to various risk-adjustments including the CAPM, the Fama French (1993) three-factor model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009306612