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Uncertainty about the future course of the economy is a possible driver of aggregate fluctuations. To identify the different dimensions of uncertainty in the macroeconomy we construct a large dataset covering all types of economic uncertainty. We then identify two fundamental factors which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412767
In the current literature uncertainty about the future course of the economy is identified as a possible driver of business cycle fluctuations. In fact, uncertainty surrounds the movements of all economic variables which gives rise to a monitoring problem. We identify the different dimensions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010188870
We derive asymptotic properties of estimators and test statistics to determine - in a grouped data setting - common versus group-specific factors. Despite the fact that our test statistic for the number of common factors, under the null, involves a parameter at the boundary (related to unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515884
. Based on the empirical evidence presented in this paper, our framework offers more realistic portfolio risk measures and a … more tractable method for portfolio optimization. -- portfolio risk ; portfolio optimization ; portfolio budgeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009576319
extensive number of robustness checks. Overall, downside cash flow risk is priced most consistently across different samples … ability. The downside cash flow risk premium is mainly attributable to small stocks. The risk premium for large stocks appears … much more driven by a compensation for symmetric, cash flow related risk. Finally, we multiply our premia estimates by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008748123
power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price … estimates that are of the same sign and similar in magnitude. Positive exposure to capital share risk earns a positive risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913073
REITs' idiosyncratic risk and their cross-sectional expected returns between 1981 and 2010. In addition to the full sample … models. Overall, we document a negative relation between idiosyncratic risk and cross-sectional expected returns and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056735
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001234405
In the context of modern portfolio theory, we compare the out-of-sample performance of 8 investment strategies which … and a risk-free asset. We provide a way to extend the concept of minimum-variance strategies in the context of short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008939375
Following Levy and Roll [2010], we posit that the market portfolio is the efficient tangent Markowitz portfolio, i.e., it is mean-variance efficient. We then reverse engineer the expected returns and variance terms with constraints imposed by empirical data on a hierarchy of asset baskets. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009611