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specifications, while the estimates on risk factors appear more sensitive to the choice of term premium specification. Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873794
John Maynard Keynes (1930) asserted that the central bank sways the long-term interest rate through the influence of its policy rate on the short-term interest rate. Recent empirical research shows that Keynes's conjecture holds for long-term Treasury yields in the United States. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013383200
estimate "macro risk factors" that drive "bad" (negatively skewed) and "good" (positively skewed) variation for supply and … significantly contribute to the variation yields, risk premiums and return variances for nominal bonds. While overall bond risk … premiums are counter-cyclical, an increase in demand variance lowers risk premiums …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709342
We use the term structure of bank CD rates to examine whether maturity-transformation risk is priced into the rates … is strongly related to the amount of maturity-transformation risk that these deposit accounts create. The cost is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635687
This paper undertakes an empirical inquiry concerning the determinants of long-term interest rates on US Treasury securities. It applies the bounds testing procedure to cointegration and error correction models within the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) framework, using monthly data and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950221
To measure the global spillovers of a Chinese slowdown on the long-term nominal interest rates in the US/Germany, I model the US/German nominal term structure jointly in the post financial crisis (FC) sample, including the Chinese leading indicator as a new factor. I use an affine term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913804
over horizons of up to one year. -- Bond Yields ; Expectations Hypothesis ; Time-varying Risk Premia ; Term Premia …Die empirische Literatur zur Zinsstruktur zeigt, dass sich langfristige Zinsen nicht - wie dies die sogenannte …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008660631
US government indebtedness and fiscal deficits increased notably following the global financial crisis. Yet long-term interest rates and US Treasury yields have remained remarkably low. Why have long-term interest rates stayed low despite the elevated government indebtedness? What are the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453037
This paper undertakes an empirical inquiry concerning the determinants of long-term interest rates on US Treasury securities. It applies the bounds testing procedure to cointegration and error correction models within the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) framework, using monthly data and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011713327
US government indebtedness and fiscal deficits increased notably following the global financial crisis. Yet long-term interest rates and US Treasury yields have remained remarkably low. Why have long-term interest rates stayed low despite the elevated government indebtedness? What are the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992932