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This study empirically examines the spillover effect from US monetary policy to nineteen European economies using Markov-switching models. The results of the univariate Markov-switching models validate the presence of two distinct regimes for both US monetary policy and the stock markets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025335
We quantify spillovers of inflation expectations between the United States (US) and Euro Area (EA) based on break-even inflation (BEI) rates. In contrast to previous studies, we model US and EA BEI rates jointly in a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model. The SVAR approach allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255370
We introduce liquidity frictions into an otherwise standard DSGE model with nominal and real rigidities, explicitly incorporating the zero bound on the short-term nominal interest rate. Within this framework, we ask: Can a shock to the liquidity of private paper lead to a collapse in short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009349619
We examine the relationship between lax monetary policy, access to high-yield bond markets and productivity in the US between 2008 and 2016. Using monetary policy surprises, obtained from changes in interest rates futures in narrow windows around FOMC announcements, we isolate the increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975741
We study the correlation between pairs of bond and stock markets in Canada and the United States between January 1998 and December 2006 in the framework of Diagonal-BEKK models. Our research question is whether monetary policy action and communication by the Bank of Canada and the Federal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009409360
We use spatial panel data model analysis to study the international transmission of U.S. monetary policy shocks in the global equity and bond markets. Through this analysis, we decompose the overall effect of such a shock into 1) direct effects, 2) higher-order network effects transmitted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845434
The aim of this article is to investigate the consequences of oil price changes for the economy of the US and the euro area. Oil price transmission channel is assessed using Granger causalities and structural vector autoregressive (VAR) specifications (applying the Cholesky factorization and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012651358
This study investigates the international spillover effects of US unconventional monetary policy (UMP) - frequently called large-scale asset purchases or quantitative easing (QE) - on advanced and emerging market economies, using structural vector autoregressive models with high-frequency daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798677
The European Central Bank is unique in setting monetary policy for several sovereign states with heterogeneous debt levels and different maturity structures. The monetary-fiscal nexus is central to the functioning of the euro area. We focus on one particular aspect of that nexus, the effect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537713
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates, and equity prices in the U.S. Their simultaneous changes enable us to distinguish between a systematic and "exogenous" response to monetary-policy news. And, those tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774934