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King U.S. Dollar, Global Risks, and Currency Option Premiums
Bakshi, Gurdip; Londono, Juan M. - 2022
for the portfolio of investment versus funding currencies. We formalize a theory to understand the properties of currency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290134
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Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models
Abbate, Angela; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2016
We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489395
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Time Series Properties and Predictability of Pak Rupee/US Dollar Exchange Rate
Suleman, Muhammad Tahir - 2012
This paper investigate the time series properties and predictability of daily percentage changes in the Pakistani rupee exchange rate with respect to the currencies of major trading partner country USA. The daily data is used for the time period of October 1988 to April 2012. In this study, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107625
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Global risk and the dollar
Georgiadis, Georgios; Müller, Gernot J.; Schumann, Ben - 2021
How does global risk impact the world economy? In taking up this question, we focus on the dollar’s role in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705529
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An examination of the forward prediction error of US dollar exchange rates and how they are related to bid-ask spreads, purchasing power parity disequilibria, and forward premium a...
Simpson, Marc W.; Grossmann, Axel - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 28 (2014), pp. 221-238
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010461953
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Intertemporal causality and on the prediction of future spot rates from forwarded currency rates
Ghosh, Asim K. - In: Advances in investment analysis and portfolio … 5 (1998), pp. 181-191
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001404505
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Testing uncovered interest parity : a continuous-time approach
Díez de los Ríos, Antonio (contributor);  … - 2007
observations per contract period is large relative to the sample size, standard GMM asymptotic theory provides unreliable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003590052
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Equilibrium real effective exchange rates and real exchange rate misalignments : time series vs. panel estimates
Hossfeld, Oliver - 2010
We follow the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate approach by Clark and MacDonald (1998) to derive equilibrium real effective exchange rates and currency misalignments for the US and its 16 major trading partners. We apply cointegration and panel cointegration techniques to derive fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374380
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Zur Qualität professioneller Wechselkursprognosen : sind professionelle Wechselkursprognosen eine sinnvolle Entscheidungshilfe für Unternehmen und Investoren?/ Robert Schmidt
Schmidt, Robert - 2003
Die Berücksichtigung der zukünftigen Entwicklung des Wechselkurses ist sowohl für internationale Unternehmen als auch für international tätige Investoren unabdingbar. Allerdings ist die Erstellung von Wechsel- kursprognosen schwierig, da bis zum heutigen Zeitpunkt kein allgemein anerkanntes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498979
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The U.S. Factor in Explaining and Forecasting Bilateral U.S. Exchange Rates
Ponomareva, Natalia - 2015
We identify a U.S.-driven factor using a monthly panel of fifteen bilateral exchange rates against the U.S. dollar since 1999. We find this factor is closely related to nominal and real macroeconomic variables, as well as financial market variables from the U.S. Using this factor alone, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025604