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frequency volatilities and correlations ; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Spline-GARCH ; Idiosyncratic volatility ; Long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063
We examine the market for U.S. equity real estate investment trusts (REITs) for evidence of the volatility effect, in … which low volatility stocks tend to outperform high volatility ones, as has been found in the general equity market by prior … research. While there is some evidence of a volatility effect in the first ten years of the sample, this disappears in a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009970
We examine the predictability of stock returns using implied volatility spreads (VS) from individual (non …-index) options. Volatility spreads can occur under simple no-arbitrage conditions for American options when volatility is time …-varying, suggesting that the VS-return predictability could be an artifact of firms’ sensitivities to aggregate volatility. Examining this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236536
We examine the predictability of stock returns using implied volatility spreads (VS) from individual (non …-index) options. Volatility spreads can occur under simple no-arbitrage conditions for American options when volatility is time …-varying, suggesting that the VS-return predictability could be an artifact of firms’ sensitivities to aggregate volatility. Examining this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254172
Real risk-free interest rates have trended down over the past 30 years. Puzzlingly in light of this decline, (1) the return on private capital has remained stable or even increased, creating an increasing wedge with safe interest rates; (2) stock market valuation ratios have increased only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932166
This study examines the spillover and connectedness network among the United States and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)+6 stock market returns during times of uncertainty in the world economy, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015071478
This paper studies the intertemporal relation between U.S. volatility risk and international equity risk premia. We … show that a common volatility risk factor constructed from the option-implied U.S. forward variances positively and … robust to the inclusion of existing domestic and U.S. predictors and alternative U.S. volatility risk proxies. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236052
The paper explores whether the co-movement of market returns and equity fund flows can be explained by a common response to macroeconomic news. I find that variables that predict the real economy as well as the equity premium are related to mutual fund flows. Changes in dividend-price ratio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008902922
In this paper we document the asymmetric role that the U.S. stock market plays in the international predictability of excess stock returns during recession and expansion periods. Most of the positive evidence accrues during the periods of recessions in the United States. During the expansions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011519115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259395