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Free trade and customs union agreements are the rage. Hundreds of bilateral and regional free trade agreements have been notified to the World Trade Organization (WTO), which in theory quot;regulatesquot; them under Article XXIV of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT).1 For example,...
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We empirically examine U.S. monetary policy spillovers to the Middle East and Central Asia (ME & CA) region by decomposing U.S. interest rates changes into two orthogonal shocks: the pure monetary policy shock and the information news shock. Using a sample of 16 ME & CA countries, we find that...
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equilibrium values having explanatory power for subsequent consumer price inflation …
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futures prices for U.S. core inflation. The proposed aggregator reduces the out-of-sample root mean squared error for 12-month …-ahead inflation forecasts of the benchmark AR(1) model by 28 percent (20 percent) for the PCE (CPI) measure of core inflation. To …
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commodity prices rise worldwide unless interrupted by an international banking crisis. This cyclical inflation on the dollar …
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