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the legislature: the identity of the party that previously held a majority, and the probability density of the election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966924
the legislature: the identity of the party that previously held a majority, and the probability density of the election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771678
Retrospective voting is a central explanation for voters' support of incumbents. Yet despite the variety of conditions facing American cities, past research has devoted little attention to retrospective voting for mayors. Local economic conditions are widely reported, making them one likely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027851
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This paper develops a new approach to detecting electoral fraud. Our context involves repeaters, individuals voting in multiple states in the U.S. during 19th Century Congressional Elections. Given high travel times, and the associated difficulties of voting in multiple states on the same day,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362047
income for the period following a mid-term election, while the latter combines factors of incumbency and terms-in-office. The …. Applied to the 2012 election as a forecasting model the prediction is that President Obama will win 49,6 pct. of the two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014164093
This paper analyzes whether money influences election outcomes. Using a new and more comprehensive dataset built from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014126056
This paper studies the effects of talk radio, specifically the Rush Limbaugh Show, on electoral outcomes and attitude polarization in the U.S. We propose a novel identification strategy that considers the radio space in each county as a market where multiple stations are competing for listeners'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081599