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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750329
that characterize long-term correlation patterns. We associate such term behavior with low frequency economic variables … improves the empirical fit of equity correlations in the US and correlation forecasts at long horizons. -- Factor models ; Low … frequency volatilities and correlations ; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Spline-GARCH ; Idiosyncratic volatility ; Long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063
This article examines whether there is a correlation between the government bond markets of Asian countries and those … Kong, Singapore and Thailand correlate with US government bond yields, and whether bonds in these Asian countries are … substantiate that there is indeed a correlation between Asian and US bond markets, and that ADB bond issuance in local markets can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060911
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001487764
successfully replicates (1) the volatility of stock prices and (2) the positive correlation between the price dividend ratio and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490485
This paper provides an analysis of the link between the oil market and the U.S. stock market returns at the aggregate as well as industry levels. We empirically model oil price changes as driven by speculative demand shocks along with consumption demand and supply shocks in the oil market. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001404
This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic news on the dynamics of interest rates and stock returns during "low" and "high" volatility periods. These periods are determined by estimating asset dynamics using a SWARCH process. Our results suggest that securities volatility is higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108222
This paper is a data-based analysis of how and why U.S. common stocks secularly rose in concert with falling interest rates. It finds that falling rates explained 76% of the increase in stocks between 1982 and 2019. Growth in financial wealth significantly outpaced growth in the real economy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824647
We combine self-collected historical data from 1867 to 1907 with CRSP data from 1926 to 2012, to examine the risk and return over the past 140 years of one of the most popular mechanical trading strategies - momentum. We find that momentum has earned abnormally high risk-adjusted returns - a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442553
This paper quantifies the diversification potential of timberland investments in a mean-variance framework. The starting point is a broad set of benchmark assets represented by various indexes. Including publicly traded timberland investments from the US and Canada in the portfolio does not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156909