between inflation and real output have been developed. Since these new Phillips curve models are expressed in terms of …

This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on "frictional growth" describing the … able to work themselves out fully. In this context, monetary shocks have a gradual and delayed effect on inflation, and … these shocks also generate plausible impulse-responses for unemployment. Although our theory contains no money illusion, no …

and inflation (short and long-term) on the other hand. Combining both data sets, factor analysis delivers (1) an … international stock market factor, (2) a common European uncertainty factor and (3) an US-inflation uncertainty factor. -- monetary …

Previously, a linear and lagged relationship between inflation and labor force change rate, π(t)= A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1 … (RMFSE) of 0.8% at a two-year horizon for the period between 1965 and 2002 (the best among other inflation forecasting models … relation between macroeconomic and population variables, to a practical one - an accurate out-of-sample inflation forecasting …

and inflation, as outlined in the classical study by M. Friedman and Schwartz, mostly disappeared since the early 1980s … information about future movements of US real output and inflation. Statistical evidence here provided thus suggests that the …

non-managers’ expectations and perceptions of inflation and unemployment. By and large, managers and non-managers exhibit … similar average inflation and unemployment expectations as well as similar levels of disagreement and sensitivity to … information provided in a randomized control trial. Inflation expectations of managers frequently affect their economic decisions …

. This paper continues this strand of research by examining the role survey expectations play in the inflation process and … reports three principal findings. One, short-run inflation expectations appear to play a significant role in explaining U ….S. inflation over the past 20-25 years. Two, long-run expectations generally do not appear to have a direct influence on U …