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We examine the role of U.S. monetary policy in global financial stability by using a cross-country database spanning the period from 1870-2010 across 69 countries. U.S. monetary policy tightening increases the probability of banking crises for those countries with direct linkages to the U.S.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181191
with those of the rest of the world. We analyse the relative importance of US, country-specific, and global variables as …. Global and national risk indicators perform better in explaining "rest of the world" flows. Moreover, we find that the … correlation between US and rest of the world flows peaks in periods of elevated uncertainty. We interpret our findings as evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975553
This paper explores a natural connection between fiscal multipliers and foreign holdings of public debt. Although fiscal expansions can raise domestic economic activity through various channels, they can also have crowding-out effects if the resources used to acquire public debt reduce domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994640
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787732
financial conditions in EMEs, and, whether it is transmitted through portfolio flows. We find that a U.S. UMP shock … easing of their own monetary policy stance in response to an expansionary U.S. shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405101
This working paper evaluates the economic sources of the stock market responses of 40 countries to surprises in the fed funds rate (FFR), the Fed's forward guidance (FG) and large-scale asset purchases (LSAP). We decompose stock market returns into different components reflecting investors'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014276056
As global financial integration deepens, shocks from a local market can generate global spillover effects more easily. Historical episodes, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic show that the connectedness of financial markets is closely related to global systemic risks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290762
direct impact predominantly on U.S. sectors and then propagate to the rest of the world through the global production network …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309215
shocks, where the persistence of this shock is important, as well as by an external shock. This external shock is strongly … the post-crisis period, the impact of both the external shock and the inflation targeting shock on exchange rates and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305726