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In the U.S. economy during the past 25 years, house prices exhibit fluctuations considerably larger than house rents, and these large fluctuations tend to move together with business cycles. We build a simple theoretical model to characterize these observations by showing the tight connection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395957
A popular interpretation of the Rational Expectations/Efficient Markets hypothesis states that, if the hypothesis holds, then market valuations must follow a random walk. This postulate has frequently been criticized on the basis of empirical evidence. Yet the assertion itself incurs what we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009547387
This paper explores the existence and importance of financing constraints for R&D investments in large EU and US manufacturing companies over the 2000-2007 period. The main results obtained by estimating error-correction equations suggest that the sensitivity of R&D investments to cash flow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980362
We augment a standard monetary DSGE model to include a banking sector and financial markets. We fit the model to Euro Area and US data. We find that agency problems in financial contracts, liquidity constraints facing banks and shocks that alter the perception of market risk and hit financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973320
We estimate a New-Neoclassical Synthesis model of the business cycle with two investment shocks. The first, an … investment-specific technology shock, affects the transformation of consumption into investment goods and is identified with the … relative price of investment. The second shock affects the production of installed capital from investment goods or, more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948199
Macroeconomic and sector-specific shocks exert differential effects on investment in disaggregate sectoral data. The … monotonically. A calibrated model of investment with convex capital adjustment costs and rational inattention explains these … features of the data. The model matches the empirical responses of sectoral investment because learning about shocks generates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827670
We develop a multivariate unobserved components model to extract business cycle and financial cycle indicators from a panel of economic and financial time series of four large developed economies. Our model is flexible and allows for the inclusion of cycle components in different selections of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520505
This paper presents a general equilibrium model with endogenous collateral constraints to study the relationship between financial development and business cycle fluctuations in a cross-section of economies with different sizes of their financial sector. The financial sector can amplify or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009692604
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011868172
One of the most robust stylized facts in macroeconomics is the forecasting power of the term spread for future real activity. The economic rationale for this forecasting power usually appeals to expectations of future interest rates, which affect the slope of the term structure. In this paper,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948217