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Two extraordinary U.S. labor market developments facilitated the sharp disinflation in 2022-23 without raising the unemployment rate. First, pandemic-driven infection worries and social distancing intentions caused a sizable drag on labor force participation that began to reverse in the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014550371
inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil … scenario of the type discussed by many observers, would only briefly raise monthly headline inflation, before fading rather … quickly. However, the short-run effects on headline inflation would be sizable. For example, on a year-over-year basis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696925
inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil … scenario of the type discussed by many observers, would only briefly raise monthly headline inflation, before fading rather … quickly. However, the short-run effects on headline inflation would be sizable. For example, on a yearover-year basis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698202
The aim of the article is to clarify the controversies surrounding the relationship between inflation and unemployment …, and Germany, during the coronavirus pandemic (from January 2020 to February 2022). The pandemic has had various adverse … also an increase in inflation. The article, therefore, hypothesises that the relationships between unemployment and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015063564
We study how within-store price variation changes with inflation, and whether households exploit it to attenuate the … inflation burden. We use micro price data for food products sold by 91 large multi-channel retailers in ten countries between … discounts grew at a much lower average rate than regular prices, helping to mitigate the inflation burden. By contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576655
Two extraordinary U.S. labor market developments facilitated the sharp disinflation in 2022-23 without raising the unemployment rate. First, pandemic-driven infection worries and social distancing intentions caused a sizable drag on labor force participation that began to reverse in the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576613
to the 2021-2023 inflation surge through the lens of several different empirical methodologies--event studies, vector … through a disinflationary channel in the Phillips curve while monetary and fiscal stimuli put positive pressure on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094886
.S. contribute to the 2021-2023 inflation surge through the lens of several different empirical methodologies-event studies, vector … through a disinflationary channel in the Phillips curve while monetary and fiscal stimuli put positive pressure on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015097290
We compare supermarket price setting in the US and the euro area and assess its impact on food inflation. We introduce … flexibility of supermarket inflation in the US relative to the euro area. We argue that the driving force behind both factors is … by a mildly state-dependent price-setting model, and they jointly explain over a third of the difference in food-inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014477711
To what extent is the recent spike in inflation driven by a change in its permanent component? We estimate a semi …-structural model of output, inflation, and the nominal interest rate in the United States over the period 1900-2021. The model predicts … that between 2019 and 2021 the permanent component of inflation rose by 51 basis points. If instead we estimate the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362011