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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012595276
Since December 2008, the Federal Reserve’s traditional policy instrument, the target federal funds rate, has been effectively at its lower bound of zero. In order to further ease the stance of monetary policy as the economic outlook deteriorated, the Federal Reserve purchased substantial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948813
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003924193
Although the effects of economic news announcements on asset prices are well established, theserelationships are unlikely to be stable. This paper documents the time variation in the responses of yield curves and exchange rates using high-frequency data from January 2000 through August 2011....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009787494
for the QE program. The duration of the rate impacts increased with maturity up to 7 years then declined, with half … averages of forward rates over a bond's maturity, QE affected long-term bond yields. The average impacts on bond yields were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108838
exogenous demand shocks for 10-year US Treasury bonds to assess their impact on the term premium. Our results show that official … sector demand factors, measured by purchases of securities by the foreign official sector and the Federal Reserve's asset … the estimated impact of official sector demand factors is the most robust driver of the term premium across alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873794
To measure the global spillovers of a Chinese slowdown on the long-term nominal interest rates in the US/Germany, I model the US/German nominal term structure jointly in the post financial crisis (FC) sample, including the Chinese leading indicator as a new factor. I use an affine term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913804
to aggregate demand or supply shocks that induce macroeconomic imbalances (as in the late stages of the Covid-19 recovery …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334351
forecasting long-term interest rates. We ask whether consumer survey data on both mortgage interest rates and expected inflation … help beat the random walk in forecasting the 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Using the vector autoregressive (VAR) modeling … framework with the mortgage rate and consumer survey data as variables, we generate the mortgage rate forecasts for 1988 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881588
.S. micro data to explore the extent to which mortgage activity differed across local areas in response to the first round of … Quantitative Easing (QE1), announced in November 2008. We document that QE1 increased both mortgage activity and real spending but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528702