Showing 1 - 10 of 22,837
Not only the level of aggregate unemployment but also the properties of its dynamics are an important topic in … asymmetric pattern in the evolution of unemployment, whereas linear models with Gaussian innovations preclude such dynamics. This … paper applies several tests for asymmetry to aggregate British, German and US unemployment data to assess the relevance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011403213
In the present paper an empirical analysis will point out that government debt as a percentage of GDP has a negative impact (among others) on banking profitability. This impact will be even worse when this debt as a percentage of GDP exceeds a certain critical level. The sample covers during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118499
We exploit a policy discontinuity at U.S. state borders to identify the effects of unemployment insurance policies on … unemployment. Our estimates imply that most of the persistent increase in unemployment during the Great Recession can be accounted … for by the unprecedented extensions of unemployment benefit eligibility. In contrast to the existing recent literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202667
This paper quantifies the deterioration of achievable stabilization outcomes when monetary policy operates under imperfect credibility and weak anchoring of long-term expectations. Within a medium-scale DSGE model, we introduce through a simple signal extraction problem, an imperfect knowledge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867037
This paper uses real-time briefing forecasts prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to provide estimates of historical changes in the design of U.S. monetary policy and in the implied central-bank target for inflation. Empirical results support a description of policy with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003468917
Lucas (1972) is the pathbreaking analysis of the neutrality and temporary non-neutrality of money. But our central banks set interest rate targets, and do not even pretend to control money supplies. How is inflation determined under an interest rate target?
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388824
rate of job destruction is sufficiently low, the unemployment rates can get close to steady-state values during the … transition. Within the realm of feasible scenarios, unemployment differentials are simultaneously determined by the speed of … destruction is fast and benefits are high. -- transition ; heterogeneous labor ; job creation ; unemployment benefit ; wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003339774
Over the past several decades, the rate at which regular unemployment insurance recipients run out of benefits before … recipients exhausted their benefits; in 2007 (with a similar unemployment rate) 35.6 percent exhausted. This paper documents the … increase in the exhaustion rate, along with the parallel rise in long-term unemployment; examines the consequences; and reviews …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009379440
Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544764
The Unemployment Insurance (UI) system in the United States has played a decisive lifeline role in effectively … before - despite that the average duration of unemployment had almost doubled in the aftermath of the Great Recession. The … introduce - for example in Europe - a common unemployment insurance scheme for macroeconomic stabilization. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014414017