A search and matching model, when calibrated to the mean and volatility of unemployment in the postwar sample, can … potentially explain the unemployment crisis in the Great Depression. The limited responses of wages from credible bargaining to … labor market conditions, along with the congestion externality from matching frictions, cause the unemployment rate to rise …

country has experienced since the Great Depression. The unemployment rate reached as high as 10.1 percent in October 2009 … those in the past by examining worker flows into and out of unemployment taking into account changes in the demographic … results indicate that the increase in the unemployment rate is driven to a larger extent by the lack of hiring (low outflows …

the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our … the GI outperform the traditional ones in predicting the monthly unemployment rate, even in most state-level forecasts and …

. -- Unemployment ; labor market search ; job flows ; labor share ; inflation ; productivity shocks ; monetary shocks …

rate and the unemployment rate? In the model, fluctuations are prominently driven by productivity shocks which are commonly … replicates the conditional volatility of job finding and unemployment, so that the Shimer critique does not apply. Instead the … shocks lead to a fall in job finding and an increase in unemployment thereby opposing the dynamics in the standard model …