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technology shocks in explaining aggregate fluctuations. To this end we estimate the model's posterior density using Markov …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833344
key variables to a permanent technology shock and their structural VAR counterparts. In a second step, we compare these …In this paper, we, seek to characterize the dynamic effects of permanent technology shocks and the way in which US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136224
Recent studies proposed news about future technology growth as the main driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009229732
interpreted as technology shocks. I estimate different types of technology shocks from structural VARs and reassess the empirical … performance of the standard model based on second moments that are conditional on technology shocks. Most prominently, the model … model lacks non-technological disturbances to replicate the overall sample volatility. In addition, positive technology …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826953
curve since the mid-eighties. Accordingly, a typical oil supply shock is currently characterized by a much smaller impact on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725509
This paper employs a large BVAR model with common stochastic volatility to examine the effects of oil supply shocks, global oil demand shocks and precautionary oil shocks on 17 U.S. macroeconomic and financial market variables from 1986Q1 to 2019Q2. Generalized impulse response functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249741
monetary policy shocks playing virtually no role during this period. In the third-regime, unconventional monetary policy shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229804
We estimate a time-varying parameter VAR (TVP-VAR) with stochastic volatility using post- WWII U.S. data to study the effects of uncertainty shocks on inflation. We find the response of inflation to be statistically insignificant until mid-to-late 1990s and negative thereafter. Our findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014090743
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003614338
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899