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Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification, we endogenize the long-term correlation between crude oil and stock price returns with respect to the stance of the U.S. macroeconomy. We find that variables that contain information on current and future economic activity are helpful predictors of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066427
volatility as well as the U.S. economy. We find that - even after accounting for these factors - oil price uncertainty still has … confirms these results. Finally, significant spillover effects in the GARCH model suggest that oil price volatility is a gauge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608019
The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U ….S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock … returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations for every firm. For one-day-ahead estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857823
This study examines the reaction of four major equity markets of the world to the US equity market fear index, i ….e., the Chicago Board of Trade Volatility Index (VIX). The VIX is designed to perform as a leading indicator of the volatility … estimation show that, in the first and second subperiods that cover from 6/2013 through 5/2016, equity market volatility in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012173007
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-ask spreads, trading volumes, and realized volatility in the markets but there remains much unexplained. -- Financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003560539
American call and put options on the S&P 500 index futures that violate the stochastic dominance bounds of Constantinides and Perrakis (2007) over 1983-2006 are identified as potentially profitable investment opportunities. Call bid prices more frequently violate their upper bound than put bid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003876987
We reconsider the issue of price discovery in spot and futures markets. We use a threshold error correction model to allow for arbitrage opportunities to have an impact on the return dynamics. We estimate the model using quote midpoints, and we modify the model to account for time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009705494