relatively small subset. Substantial forecast and economic gains are obtained, in particular, in the tails using Value-at-Risk …

Dependence modelling and estimation is a key issue in the assessment of portfolio risk. When measuring extreme risk in … terms of the Value-at-Risk, the multivariate normal model with linear correlation as its natural dependence measure is by no … the data. -- Risk management ; extreme risk assessment ; multivariate models ; dependence function …

How does global risk impact the world economy? In taking up this question, we focus on the dollar’s role in the … global risk shocks in a Bayesian Proxy VAR model. They cause a synchronized contraction of global economic activity and … illustrate through counterfactuals that the dollar appreciation amplifies the adverse impact of global risk shocks outside of the …