Much of the US inflation forecasting literature deals with examining the ability of macroeconomic indicators to predict … the mean of future inflation, and the overwhelming evidence suggests that the macroeconomic indicators provide little or … no predictability. In this paper, we expand the scope of inflation predictability and explore whether macroeconomic …

We examine partisan bias in inflation expectations. Our dataset includes inflation expectations of the New York Fed …'s Survey of Consumer Expectations over the period June 2013 to June 2018. The results show that inflation expectations were 0 …. Compared to inflation expectations in Democratic-dominated states, inflation expectations in Republican-dominated states …

We examine partisan bias in inflation expectations. Our dataset includes inflation expectations of the New York Fed …'s Survey of Consumer Expectations over the period June 2013 to June 2018. The results show that inflation expectations were 0 …. Compared to inflation expectations in Democratic-dominated states, inflation expectations in Republican-dominated states …

and Karanasos (2008) to examine the intertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of inflation and output growth in … the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects output variability positively, while output variability has a negative … effect on inflation uncertainty. …

framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …

We use parametric models of long memory in both the conditional mean and the conditional variance of inflation and … monthly data in the USA, Japan and the UK for the period 1962-2001 to examine the relationship between inflation and inflation …-uncertainty. In all countries, inflation significantly raises inflation-uncertainty as predicted by Friedman. Increased nominal …

Previous studies have interpreted the rise and fall of U.S. inflation after World War II in terms of the Fed's changing … the low-inflation policy recommended by a natural rate model even after economists had developed statistical evidence … inflation rate in light of updated probabilities that it assigns to three competing models of the Phillips curve. Cautious …

effects of uncertainty shocks on inflation. We find the response of inflation to be statistically insignificant until mid …

framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …