Conley, Timothy G.; Dupor, Bill; Ebsim, Mahdi; Li, Jingchao - 2020
This paper decomposes the causal effect of government defense spending into: (i) a local (or direct) effect, and (ii) a spillover (or indirect) effect. Using state-level defense spending data, we show that a negative cross-state spillover effect explains the existing simultaneous findings of a...