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This paper presents a MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR forecasting model. First, we propose a general and compact mixed … pseudo out-of-sample forecasting exercise with US real-time data yields that the mixed frequency VAR substantially improves … frequency VAR framework using a stacked vector approach. Second, we integrate the mixed frequency VAR with a MIDAS type Almon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252625
This paper presents a MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR forecasting model. First, we propose a general and compact mixed … pseudo out-of-sample forecasting exercise with US real-time data yields that the mixed frequency VAR substantially improves … frequency VAR framework using a stacked vector approach. Second, we integrate the mixed frequency VAR with a MIDAS type Almon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307783
This paper presents a MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR forecasting model. First, we propose a general and compact mixed …-of-sample forecasting exercise with US real-time data yields that the mixed frequency VAR substantially improves predictive accuracy upon a … frequency VAR framework using a stacked vector approach. Second, we integrate the mixed frequency VAR with a MIDAS type Almon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268409
This paper presents a MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR forecasting model. First, we propose a general and compact mixed … pseudo out-of-sample forecasting exercise with US real-time data yields that the mixed frequency VAR substantially improves … frequency VAR framework using a stacked vector approach. Second, we integrate the mixed frequency VAR with a MIDAS type Almon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508351
VAR operates with artificial series obtained from a DSGE model. The results indicate that the out-of-sample forecasting … quantitative macroeconomics. However, DSGE models were not considered as a forecasting tool until very recently. The objective of … this paper is twofold. First, we compare the forecasting ability of a canonical DSGE model for the Spanish economy with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317125
notably with the pandemic. In a VAR, allowing the errors to have a distribution with fatter tails than the Gaussian one equips … the model to better deal with the COVID-19 shock. A standard Gaussian VAR can still be used for producing conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605254
quantitative macroeconomics. However, DSGE models was not considered as a forecasting tool until very recently. The objective of … this paper is twofold. First, we compare the forecasting ability of a canonical DSGE model for the Spanish economy with … methods of the DSGE model to the forecasts produced by a VAR and a Bayesian VAR. Second, we propose a new method for combining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004997394
notably with the pandemic. In a VAR, allowing the errors to have a distribution with fatter tails than the Gaussian one equips … the model to better deal with the COVID-19 shock. A standard Gaussian VAR can still be used for producing conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519429
influenced the persistent inflation in Romania, and a VAR model for the impulse analyses. The purpose of the paper is to present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827603
In a previous article for Econ Journal Watch, I attributed to Paul Krugman a concurrence with the optimistic economic forecast put forward in early 2009 by the incoming Administration. Krugman reacted by denying that he had concurred with that forecast, pointing to a blog entry of his from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133028