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This paper introduces a Banking-Macro Model and estimates the linkages through a Multi-Regime VAR (MRVAR). We introduce a dynamic model which is akin to the Brunnermeier and Sannikov (BS) model (2010). The banking sector is exposed to instability due to adverse movements of asset prices and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110113
The paper illustrates and evaluates a Kalman filtering method for forecasting German real GDP at monthly intervals. German real GDP is produced at quarterly intervals but analysts and decision makers often want monthly GDP forecasts. Quarterly GDP could be regressed on monthly indicators, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319236
The paper illustrates and evaluates a Kalman filtering method for forecasting German real GDP at monthly intervals. German real GDP is produced at quarterly intervals but analysts and decision makers often want monthly GDP forecasts. Quarterly GDP could be regressed on monthly indicators, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449243
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011914950
The paper illustrates and evaluates a Kalman filtering method for forecasting German real GDP at monthly intervals. German real GDP is produced at quarterly intervals but analysts and decision makers often want monthly GDP forecasts. Quarterly GDP could be regressed on monthly indicators, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002104553
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001579918
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002391298
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251591