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We propose a new algorithm which allows easy estimation of Vector Autoregressions (VARs) featuring asymmetric priors and time varying volatilities, even when the cross sectional dimension of the system N is particularly large. The algorithm is based on a simple triangularisation which allows to...
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We examine forecasting performance of the recent fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. The …
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This paper discusses how the forecast accuracy of a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) is affected by introducing the zero lower bound on the federal funds rate. As a benchmark I adopt a common BVAR specification, including 18 variables, estimated shrinkage, and no nonlinearity. Then I...
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) models affects their forecasting performance. We apply this analysis to medium-scale DSGE models with and without financial … with financial frictions outperform in forecasting inflation but not the GDP growth rate. …
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