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inflation from its trend, implying that the more demand-driven a recession, the higher the multiplier. Median multipliers range …
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inflation from its trend, implying that the more demand-driven a recession, the higher the multiplier. Median multipliers range …
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In this paper we review the methodology of forecasting with log-linearised DSGE models using Bayesian methods. We focus on the estimation of their predictive distributions, with special attention being paid to the mean and the covariance matrix of h-step ahead forecasts. In the empirical...
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