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rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate co-integration …New-Keynesian macroeconomic models typically assume that any long-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment is … data a strong negative correlation between the trend components of inflation and unemployment. We show that this finding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426365
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of … the unemployment rate in the VAR model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
In this paper, we identify demand shocks that can have a permanent effect on output through hysteresis effects. We call … employment and investment, although output per worker is largely unaffected. We find strong evidence that hysteresis transmits … through a rise in long-term unemployment and a decline in labor force participation and disproportionately affects the least …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663764
long-run impact on the productive capacity of the economy through hysteresis effects. These demand shocks are found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417528
unemployment, several European economies display highly persistent unemployment dynamics. The theory of hysteresis challenges this … strong empirical evidence of unemployment hysteresis in advanced economies since the 1990s. Relying on an identification … unemployment rates to pre-shock levels. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012130633
.p. over the annualized inflation); ii) a shock on the unemployment rate lasts for 18 months; iii) a shock on the expectations … has no effect over the unemployment rate. That is, more inflation does not reduce unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009553780
This paper documents, for the first time in a systematic manner, the link between labor cost and price inflation in the euro area. Using country and sector quarterly data over the period 1985Q1-2018Q1 we find a strong link between labor cost and price inflation in the four major economies of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975511
unemployment in two largest economic regions in the world - the United States (US) and the Euro area (EA). For this purpose we … addition to local effects we find foreign uncertainty shocks influence the Euro area but not the US unemployment. Moreover we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437769
growth and unemployment in Mexico during the period 2000Q2-2018Q4. The results show that tourism growth is a palliative for … unemployment, whereas unemployment reduces the growth of the tourism sector. The results also show that the relationship between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131891
in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899