We considers two key questions regarding predictive power of the FED model for stock returns. First, utilising a rolling regression approach designed to mimic real time investors, we provide evidence that the FED model, together with interest rates and the dividend-price ratio, can forecast...

In this paper, we study the effect of macroeconomic shocks in the determination of house prices. Focusing on the U.S. and the U.K. housing market, we employ time-varying Vector Autoregression models using Bayesian methods covering the periods of 1830-2016 and 1845-2016 respectively. We consider...