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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011891611
This paper uses a range of structural VARs to show that the response of US stock prices to fiscal shocks changed in 1980. Over the period 1955-1980 an expansionary spending or revenue shock was associated with modestly higher stock prices. After 1980, along with a decline in the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011627039
This paper uses a range of structural VARs to show that the response of US stock prices to fiscal shocks changed in 1980. Over the period 1955-1979 an expansionary spending or revenue shock was associated with modestly higher stock prices. After 1980, along with a decline in the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887044
investment spending as a VAR. Based on a panel of financial statement data for 6,408 German firms (44,345 datapoints … substantive conclusions, this paper demonstrate that the panel VAR approach is useful for modeling firm dynamics and real … realwirtschaftlicher und der finanzieller Sphäre einer Unternehmung bietet sich die Modellierung der Investitionsentscheidung als VAR an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432001
We use a non-linear factor-augmented vector-autoregressive model to evaluate international effects of an unexpected decrease in euro area policy rates. Given the current environment of ultra low or negative interest rates, we especially focus on potential differences in the transmission of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621228
This paper evaluates whether fiscal and foreign exchange policy shocks can explain both credit and credit supply in Venezuela. Empirical evidence suggests that between 65 and 90 percent of credit growth is linked to the buildup of banks' deposits caused by the monetary effects of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011660860
household indebtedness. A timevarying parameter VAR model allows us to study the variation in the mortgage debt sensitivity to … quantitatively similar to the VAR results. A sacrifice ratio for mortgage debt reveals that a policy tightening directed towards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803783
This paper analyzes the spillovers of higher U.S. interest rates on economic activity in a large panel of 50 advanced and emerging economies. We allow the response of GDP in each country to vary according to its exchange rate regime, trade openness, and a vulnerability index that includes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011859442
unique Euro area bank lending surveys. Embedding this information within a standard VAR model, we find that: (1) the credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003993969
mechanism corresponds to their 'Cost Channel of Monetary Transmission' and replicates typical monetary VAR results, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724428