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one structural shock to potentially affect all variables in the system. Replicating Bloom (2009), we find that the …
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This paper derives two new improved risk metrics LAPVaR and LAPSF. Traditional VaRDeltaNormal valuation exaggerates … Shortfall – PSF – uses option theory to solve the problem that, under any circumstance, the risk amount is never greater than … the portfolio value. Risk to LIQUIDATION means every day-t, a portion of portfolio assets-i, for integer i ϵ (1, N) is …
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volatility, and swings in foreign investment – play important roles in the transmission of uncertainty shocks …
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We propose a new instrument to identify uncertainty shocks in a SVAR model with external instruments. The instrument is constructed by exploiting variations in the price of gold around events that capture periods of changes in uncertainty. The variations in the price of gold around the events...
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We estimate the short-run effects of severe weather shocks on local economic activity and assess cross …-border spillovers operating through economic linkages between U.S. states. We measure weather shocks using a detailed county … weather shocks hitting individual regions. We also show that (i) taking into account economic interconnections between states …
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