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Since the Great Recession, the main evolution in monetary policy has been its attempts to affect the medium and the long-term interest rates with instruments other than the policy rate. Consequently, measuring the stance of monetary policy by a single interest rate becomes problematic. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160681
In this paper a new instrument for monetary policy shocks is presented. Exogenous variation of the policy rate may come from frictions of collective decision-making. Dissenting votes indicate how far the final decision of the decision making body is from the mean of the members' individually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613627
In empirical macroeconomics, proxy structural vector autoregressive models (SVARs) have become a prominent path towards detecting monetary policy (MP) shocks. However, in practice, the merits of proxy SVARs depend on the relevance and exogeneity of the instrumental information employed. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012297438
In empirical macroeconomics, proxy structural vector autoregressive models (SVARs) have become a prominent path towards detecting monetary policy (MP) shocks. However, in practice, the merits of proxy SVARs depend on the relevance and exogeneity of the instrumental information employed. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014091880
Motivating with two scenarios in which the government spending in China timely reacted to output shock within a quarter, this letter points out a downward bias in the estimation of Chinese government spending multiplier using the classical lag restriction for shock identification in a quarterly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323898
number of periods. Regarding the NR approach, we show that the prior-robust Bayesian credible intervals from Giacomini et al …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293576
long horizons. Consequently, unless researchers are overwhelmingly concerned with bias, shrinkage via Bayesian VARs or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334425
Economic theory considers economic growth and wage costs as crucial determinants in the process of job creation. In this paper, we try to quantify the relationship that exists between these variables in Belgium. Our objective being mainly the use of the empirical model for forecasting purposes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005008068
This paper advances the application of Bayesian graphical structural vector autoregressive (BGSVAR) models to address …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354565
We exploit inequality restrictions on higher-order moments of the distribution of structural shocks to sharpen their identification. We show that these constraints can be treated as necessary conditions and used to shrink the set of admissible rotations. We illustrate the usefulness of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335939