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We propose a new approach to analyze economic shocks. Our new procedure identifies economic shocks as exogenous shifts in a function; hence, we call them "functional shocks." We show how to identify such shocks and how to trace their effects in the economy via VARs using "VARs with functional...
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The UK has experienced a dramatic increase in earnings and income inequality over the past four decades. We use … policy shocks lead to a deterioration in earnings, income and consumption inequality and contribute to their fluctuation. The … response of income and consumption at different quantiles suggests that contractionary policy has a larger negative effect on …
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Proxy structural vector autoregressions (SVARs)identify structural shocks in vector autoregressions (VARs) with external proxy variables that are correlated with the structural shocks of interest but uncorrelated with other structural shocks. We provide asymptotic theory for proxy SVARs when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570152
the effects of these shocks on different sectors of the economy. We find that an unexpected shock to the exchange rate has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072839
We document asymmetric responses of consumer spending to energy price shocks: Using a multiple-regime threshold vector autoregressive model estimated with Bayesian methods on US data, we find that positive energy price shocks have a larger negative effect on consumption compared with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831022
They do. Partly. We identify credit supply shocks via sign restrictions in a Bayesian VAR and separate them into positive and negative. Using local projections, we find that positive credit supply shocks leave notably different prints in private debt, mortgage debt, and debt: GDP, as opposed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224893
We study the cyclical dynamics of consumption in the euro area (EA) and the large EA countries by distinguishing durable from nondurable expenditures. We adopt a theoretical partial equilibrium framework to justify the identification strategy of our empirical model, a time-varying parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197836
demand shocks significantly worsen the income distribution. It is estimated that the effect of the demand shock is long …This study analyzes the impact of supply and demand shocks on income and price inequality in the economy using data … Blanchard and Quah (1989) and Bashar (2011). In addition, several income distribution indices are calculated, and a relative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198179