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This thesis develops new methods to assess two types of financial risk. Market risk is defined as the risk of losing money due to drops in the values of asset portfolios. Systemic risk refers to the breakdown risk for the financial system induced by the distress of individual companies. During...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009783478
Hungarian data. I compare two identification approaches. One of them involves the ‘sign restrictions on impulse responses … history. My argument is that in certain cases, especially in the case of the Hungarian economy, the latter identification … identification approaches produced very similar results, imposing restrictions on history may help to dampen counterintuitive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322447
Traditional ways of analyzing the effects of monetary policy shocks via structural vector autoregressions require the use of unrealistic identifying assumptions: they either do not allow for a response of output and prices on impact of the shock, or they exclude contemporaneous values of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325927
The identification of a VAR requires differentiating between correlation and causation. This paper presents a method to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328494
observational equivalence, partial and weak identification problems are widespread, that they lead to biased estimates, unreliable t … identification and study how small samples interact with parameters and shock identification. We provide diagnostics and tests to … detect identification failures and apply them to a state-of-the-art model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604629
We develop a technique for analyzing the response dynamics of economic variables to structural shocks in linear rational expectations models. Our work differs fromstandard SVARs since we allow expectations of future variables to enter structural equations. We show how to estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604632
, with both real and nominal frictions, and with sufficiently wide ranges for their parameterers. This identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604751
sufficient conditions for identification of the structural shocks and the associated impulse response functions. In particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604758
-form model, all identification approaches used in the literature yield qualitatively and quantitatively very similar results as … estimated or calibrated for alternative identification approaches. These differences also translate into uncertainty about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604923
first is whether such equations are identified. To check identification requires specifying the process for the forcing … is estimated by GMM, relying on statistical criteria to choose instruments. This may result in failure of identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604938