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Impact of real shocks on business cycles in selected Sub-Saharan African countries
Amu, Barnabas; Osabuohien, Evans; Alege, Philip; … - In: Cogent business & management 8 (2021) 1, pp. 1-18
This study examines business cycle fluctuations in selected Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. The study measures the impact of selected real shocks, namely: terms of trade shocks, commodity price shocks, and government spending shocks, on macroeconomic fluctuations in SSA. The impact of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668468
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Macroeconomic management on becoming an African oil exporter
Morrissey, Oliver; Spreng, Lars - 2020
after 2010. The DSGE results suggest that although an oil price shock generates appreciation and initially output falls …. The SVAR results for Ghana when exporting suggest an initial depreciation in response to an oil price shock, with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012177185
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Structural analysis with independent innovations
Herwartz, Helmut - 2014
Structural innovations in multivariate dynamic systems are typically hidden and often identified by means of a …-priori economic reasoning. Under multivariate Gaussian model innovations there is no loss measure available to distinguish alternative … Gaussian framework of independent innovations, a loss statistic is proposed in this paper that allows to discriminate between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010355109
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On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa
Nguyen, Anh D. M. - 2015
The perception that inflation dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are driven by supply shocks implies a limited role for monetary policy in influencing inflation in the short run. SSA's rapid growth, its integration with the global economy, changes in the policy frameworks, among others, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015595
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Monetary policy shocks, set-identifying restrictions, and asset prices : a benchmarking approach for analyzing set-identified models
Uhrin, Gábor B.; Herwartz, Helmut - 2016 - This version: November 17, 2016
A central question for monetary policy is how asset prices respond to a monetary policy shock. We provide evidence on … restrictions. The impulse responses show a positive asset price response to a contractionary monetary policy shock. The resulting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563120
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Identification of vector autoregressive models with nonlinear contemporaneous structure
Cordoni, Francesco; Doremus, Nicolas; Moneta, Alessio - 2024
We propose a statistical identification procedure for structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models that present a nonlinear dependence (at least) at the contemporaneous level. By applying and adapting results from the literature on causal discovery with continuous additive noise models to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013548855
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Weathering shocks : the effects of weather shocks on farm input use in sub-Saharan Africa
Nsabimana, Aimable - 2022
There has been much discussion on climate change and its adverse effects on agriculture, including excessive loss of food production. In regions such as sub-Saharan Africa, where agriculture is the major source of household livelihoods, shocks in weather patterns affect farmers' expectations of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013203077
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Measuring the effects of monetary policy in the euro area : the role of anticipated policy
Gottschalk, Jan; Höppner, Florian - 2001 - This Version: August 2001
This paper investigates within a SVAR framework the effects of anticipated monetary policy in the euro area. Building on a procedure recently proposed by Cochrane yielding the response of output to an anticipated monetary policy impulse, we show that in the past twenty years anticipated monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538850
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A new approach to identifying the real effects of uncertainty shocks
Shin, Minchul; Zhong, Molin - 2016 - This version: April 25, 2016
This paper proposes a multivariate stochastic volatility-in-vector autoregression model called the conditional autoregressive inverse Wishart-in-VAR (CAIW-in-VAR) model as a framework for studying the real effects of uncertainty shocks. We make three contributions to the literature. First, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011500382
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The evolving transmission of uncertainty shocks in the United Kingdom
Mumtaz, Haroon - In: Econometrics : open access journal 4 (2016) 1, pp. 1-18
This paper investigates if the impact of uncertainty shocks on the U.K. economy has changed over time. To this end, we propose an extended time-varying VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its time-varying impact on key macroeconomic and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505897